economy-markets / analysis

Will Warsh's Fed Hike Rates Before the Midterms? Inside the Oct. 28 Decision After a 3.7% CPI Shock

Iran-war fuel prices pushed September inflation to 3.7%, putting a rare pre-election rate hike on the table for the Oct. 27-28 FOMC meeting.

By Ecker Geopolitics Desk · Reviewed and edited by Brendan Ecker

· Updated · 1 min read

Official Federal Reserve portrait of Fed Chair Kevin Warsh ahead of the October 2026 FOMC rate decision

The Federal Reserve decides Oct. 28, six days before the Nov. 3 midterms, whether to raise rates again after September CPI rose 0.6% for the month and 3.7% for the year, with gasoline up 34.2%. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh says he does not "prejudge meetings," and market odds of a hike have swung between about 22% and 50%.

Premium content

Full article for paid members.

Join to read the full article

Federal Reserve · Kevin Warsh · interest rates · inflation · CPI · oil prices · midterm elections · Treasury yields

Related articles

More in economy-markets